Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 交易量
$49,154 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 交易量
$49,154 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions