Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C under southeasterly winds shifting northeasterly, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, anchoring trader consensus on the 14°C outcome at 47% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-autumn synoptic patterns with a high-pressure influence over the region, where small variations in cloud cover or wind direction can shift the peak by 1–2°C from the climatological average high of around 15°C. Numerical weather prediction models show tight clustering in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from warmer northerly flows or downside from stronger southerlies keeping 15°C and 13°C as meaningful alternatives at 28% and 18%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments in steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
5月18日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 45%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
18%
14°C
45%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 45%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
$576 交易量
<1%
9°C
$232 交易量
<1%
10°C
$200 交易量
1%
11°C
$287 交易量
1%
12°C
$225 交易量
4%
13°C
$304 交易量
18%
14°C
$431 交易量
45%
15°C
$381 交易量
27%
16°C
$260 交易量
10%
17°C
$45 交易量
1%
18°C或更高
$142 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C under southeasterly winds shifting northeasterly, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, anchoring trader consensus on the 14°C outcome at 47% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-autumn synoptic patterns with a high-pressure influence over the region, where small variations in cloud cover or wind direction can shift the peak by 1–2°C from the climatological average high of around 15°C. Numerical weather prediction models show tight clustering in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from warmer northerly flows or downside from stronger southerlies keeping 15°C and 13°C as meaningful alternatives at 28% and 18%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,082結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C under southeasterly winds shifting northeasterly, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, anchoring trader consensus on the 14°C outcome at 47% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-autumn synoptic patterns with a high-pressure influence over the region, where small variations in cloud cover or wind direction can shift the peak by 1–2°C from the climatological average high of around 15°C. Numerical weather prediction models show tight clustering in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from warmer northerly flows or downside from stronger southerlies keeping 15°C and 13°C as meaningful alternatives at 28% and 18%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,082結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C under southeasterly winds shifting northeasterly, partly cloudy skies, and light winds, anchoring trader consensus on the 14°C outcome at 47% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-autumn synoptic patterns with a high-pressure influence over the region, where small variations in cloud cover or wind direction can shift the peak by 1–2°C from the climatological average high of around 15°C. Numerical weather prediction models show tight clustering in this narrow range, with limited upside risk from warmer northerly flows or downside from stronger southerlies keeping 15°C and 13°C as meaningful alternatives at 28% and 18%. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments in steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions