National Weather Service forecasts project Denver's high temperature on May 16 near 82°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 80-81°F (33%), 78-79°F (24%), and 82-83°F (22.5%) outcomes. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF depict upper-level ridging fostering warm air advection and efficient diurnal heating at Denver's high elevation, but light winds and potential convective clouds introduce uncertainty, favoring slightly tempered peaks over 84°F+. Recent rebound from mid-week snow to near-record warmth underscores volatile spring patterns, with resolution depending on boundary-layer mixing and real-time observations amid typical May normals near 72°F. New hourly updates expected overnight could refine probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 12%
$22,278 交易量
$22,278 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
7%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 12%
$22,278 交易量
$22,278 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts project Denver's high temperature on May 16 near 82°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms, anchoring trader sentiment around the closely contested 80-81°F (33%), 78-79°F (24%), and 82-83°F (22.5%) outcomes. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF depict upper-level ridging fostering warm air advection and efficient diurnal heating at Denver's high elevation, but light winds and potential convective clouds introduce uncertainty, favoring slightly tempered peaks over 84°F+. Recent rebound from mid-week snow to near-record warmth underscores volatile spring patterns, with resolution depending on boundary-layer mixing and real-time observations amid typical May normals near 72°F. New hourly updates expected overnight could refine probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions