Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 交易量
$51,118 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$51,118 交易量
$51,118 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$17,472 交易量
No
56-57°F
$3,554 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,032 交易量
No
60-61°F
$2,179 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,890 交易量
No
64-65°F
$1,919 交易量
No
66-67°F
$2,620 交易量
No
68-69°F
$2,210 交易量
No
70-71°F
$2,675 交易量
No
72-73°F
$7,619 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$6,948 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
交易量
$51,118結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,118結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders show near-certainty that Denver’s highest temperature on May 15 will reach at least 74°F, anchored in National Weather Service forecast guidance projecting daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Stable high-pressure ridging, southerly flow, and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies are expected to drive rapid boundary-layer warming across the Front Range, where downslope winds further enhance temperatures. Current NOAA model consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs near 71°F frequently climb higher during warm advection episodes. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold-front passage could realistically prevent the threshold, though steering patterns and ensemble spread make such a shift improbable before peak heating occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions