Latest European and U.S. forecast ensembles project Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 25 °C under patchy rain and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. A strengthening ridge of high pressure is advecting milder Atlantic air northward, producing a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to the May climatological mean of 18–19 °C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most runs differing by only 1–2 °C due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of showers; any break in cloud or delayed precipitation could push readings to 26 °C, while persistent rain would cap the peak nearer 24 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine the distribution ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫斯科5月17日最高溫度？
莫斯科5月17日最高溫度？
25°C 35%
26°C 24.4%
24°C 24%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
24%
25°C
35%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 24.4%
24°C 24%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
18°C or below
$1,330 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,315 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,029 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,377 交易量
1%
22°C
$973 交易量
2%
23°C
$496 交易量
10%
24°C
$430 交易量
24%
25°C
$597 交易量
35%
26°C
$773 交易量
24%
27°C
$593 交易量
9%
28°C or higher
$1,036 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European and U.S. forecast ensembles project Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 25 °C under patchy rain and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. A strengthening ridge of high pressure is advecting milder Atlantic air northward, producing a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to the May climatological mean of 18–19 °C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most runs differing by only 1–2 °C due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of showers; any break in cloud or delayed precipitation could push readings to 26 °C, while persistent rain would cap the peak nearer 24 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine the distribution ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,949結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest European and U.S. forecast ensembles project Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 25 °C under patchy rain and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. A strengthening ridge of high pressure is advecting milder Atlantic air northward, producing a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to the May climatological mean of 18–19 °C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most runs differing by only 1–2 °C due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of showers; any break in cloud or delayed precipitation could push readings to 26 °C, while persistent rain would cap the peak nearer 24 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine the distribution ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,949結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest European and U.S. forecast ensembles project Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 25 °C under patchy rain and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–26 °C. A strengthening ridge of high pressure is advecting milder Atlantic air northward, producing a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to the May climatological mean of 18–19 °C. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most runs differing by only 1–2 °C due to uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of showers; any break in cloud or delayed precipitation could push readings to 26 °C, while persistent rain would cap the peak nearer 24 °C. Updated model runs tonight will further refine the distribution ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions