Latest ensemble forecasts from Russian meteorological models indicate afternoon highs in Moscow on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, as a mild southwesterly flow advects warmer air while scattered cloud cover and light precipitation cap further warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology where daily maxima typically range 18–26°C, though recent model runs show slight upward revisions in surface temperatures ahead of a weak frontal passage. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C reflects this forecast consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes due to expected daytime cloud build-up and to sub-26°C readings given the absence of strong cold advection. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these projections before resolution based on official VDNKh observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫斯科5月18日的最高溫度？
莫斯科5月18日的最高溫度？
29°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
24%
29°C
26%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
13%
29°C 26%
28°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
21°C or below
$580 交易量
<1%
22°C
$453 交易量
<1%
23°C
$738 交易量
<1%
24°C
$643 交易量
1%
25°C
$377 交易量
1%
26°C
$208 交易量
6%
27°C
$172 交易量
18%
28°C
$175 交易量
24%
29°C
$149 交易量
26%
30°C
$105 交易量
14%
31°C or higher
$185 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Russian meteorological models indicate afternoon highs in Moscow on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, as a mild southwesterly flow advects warmer air while scattered cloud cover and light precipitation cap further warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology where daily maxima typically range 18–26°C, though recent model runs show slight upward revisions in surface temperatures ahead of a weak frontal passage. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C reflects this forecast consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes due to expected daytime cloud build-up and to sub-26°C readings given the absence of strong cold advection. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these projections before resolution based on official VDNKh observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$3,784結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Russian meteorological models indicate afternoon highs in Moscow on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, as a mild southwesterly flow advects warmer air while scattered cloud cover and light precipitation cap further warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology where daily maxima typically range 18–26°C, though recent model runs show slight upward revisions in surface temperatures ahead of a weak frontal passage. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C reflects this forecast consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes due to expected daytime cloud build-up and to sub-26°C readings given the absence of strong cold advection. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these projections before resolution based on official VDNKh observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,784結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Russian meteorological models indicate afternoon highs in Moscow on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, as a mild southwesterly flow advects warmer air while scattered cloud cover and light precipitation cap further warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology where daily maxima typically range 18–26°C, though recent model runs show slight upward revisions in surface temperatures ahead of a weak frontal passage. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29°C reflects this forecast consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes due to expected daytime cloud build-up and to sub-26°C readings given the absence of strong cold advection. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these projections before resolution based on official VDNKh observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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