Current China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 28°C for Wuhan on May 15, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 27-29°C in this humid subtropical region, where daily maxima steadily climb amid lengthening daylight. Recent observations show early May warmth peaking near 31°C on May 11, tempered by persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered rain from regional cold fronts disrupting travel. Historical mid-May records rarely exceed 32°C without prolonged clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with key updates from CMA bulletins and model refreshes expected through May 14 ahead of resolution at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 34%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 28°C for Wuhan on May 15, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 27-29°C in this humid subtropical region, where daily maxima steadily climb amid lengthening daylight. Recent observations show early May warmth peaking near 31°C on May 11, tempered by persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered rain from regional cold fronts disrupting travel. Historical mid-May records rarely exceed 32°C without prolonged clear skies. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with key updates from CMA bulletins and model refreshes expected through May 14 ahead of resolution at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions