Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 26.3°C around 15:00 KST at the official Incheon International Airport station, the market's designated measurement site, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) on the 26°C outcome amid clear skies and light winds that limited further daytime heating. This aligns with model forecasts from earlier in the day projecting a peak near 26°C under high-pressure conditions, consistent with May climatology where Seoul highs average 22–25°C but can fluctuate with radiative cooling overnight. With sunset approaching and temperatures already falling to 25°C by evening, only an unprecedented late-afternoon surge—unlikely given current atmospheric stability—or a rare data revision could challenge this positioning; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$301,186 交易量
$301,186 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$301,186 交易量
$301,186 交易量
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 26.3°C around 15:00 KST at the official Incheon International Airport station, the market's designated measurement site, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) on the 26°C outcome amid clear skies and light winds that limited further daytime heating. This aligns with model forecasts from earlier in the day projecting a peak near 26°C under high-pressure conditions, consistent with May climatology where Seoul highs average 22–25°C but can fluctuate with radiative cooling overnight. With sunset approaching and temperatures already falling to 25°C by evening, only an unprecedented late-afternoon surge—unlikely given current atmospheric stability—or a rare data revision could challenge this positioning; final KMA daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions