Trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability for Helsinki's May 17 high reaching 19°C or higher, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts showing a warming trend under a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, with southerly winds advecting milder continental air and light winds minimizing cooling. Current May 15 observations logged around 14°C amid partly cloudy skies, up from cooler early-May norms, while ensemble models like ECMWF indicate consensus highs near 17-18°C but with an upper tail to 20°C+ under optimal solar heating and low cloud cover. Probabilities cluster evenly in the 15-18°C range (19-20.5%) reflecting model spread from Baltic sea-breeze moderation and residual shower risks. New FMI and ECMWF updates expected twice daily through May 16 could refine trajectories ahead of official Helsinki-Vantaa station measurements resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基5月17日最高溫度?
赫爾辛基5月17日最高溫度?
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C 20%
18°C 8.9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
20%
16°C
31%
17°C
32%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
3%
17°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C 20%
18°C 8.9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
20%
16°C
31%
17°C
32%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability for Helsinki's May 17 high reaching 19°C or higher, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecasts showing a warming trend under a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, with southerly winds advecting milder continental air and light winds minimizing cooling. Current May 15 observations logged around 14°C amid partly cloudy skies, up from cooler early-May norms, while ensemble models like ECMWF indicate consensus highs near 17-18°C but with an upper tail to 20°C+ under optimal solar heating and low cloud cover. Probabilities cluster evenly in the 15-18°C range (19-20.5%) reflecting model spread from Baltic sea-breeze moderation and residual shower risks. New FMI and ECMWF updates expected twice daily through May 16 could refine trajectories ahead of official Helsinki-Vantaa station measurements resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions