Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 14%
最新
$32,639 交易量
最新
$32,639 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 14%
最新
$32,639 交易量
最新
$32,639 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
$830 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$1,453 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$6,341 交易量
14%
62-63°F
$3,582 交易量
24%
64-65°F
$2,057 交易量
33%
66-67°F
$2,491 交易量
20%
68-69°F
$2,637 交易量
14%
70-71°F
$3,072 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$3,131 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,465 交易量
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,580 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$32,639結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,639結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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