Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 68-69°F in Los Angeles on May 13, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the market's resolving station. This outcome aligns with persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific, which suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 70-72°F highs; low clouds reflected sunlight, maintaining cool surface temperatures amid sea surface temperatures around 60°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had trended downward in the 48 hours prior, citing strengthened coastal eddy circulation. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments, though NWS validations confirm the reading's reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 13?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$62,796 交易量
$62,796 交易量
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$62,796 交易量
$62,796 交易量
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 68-69°F in Los Angeles on May 13, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the market's resolving station. This outcome aligns with persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific, which suppressed daytime heating despite typical May climatology averaging 70-72°F highs; low clouds reflected sunlight, maintaining cool surface temperatures amid sea surface temperatures around 60°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had trended downward in the 48 hours prior, citing strengthened coastal eddy circulation. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor anomalies or quality control adjustments, though NWS validations confirm the reading's reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions