National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently favor an upper-60s high at Los Angeles International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 92.7% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are limiting afternoon warming at the coastal station, consistent with typical May climatology where sea-breeze effects cap temperatures several degrees below inland readings. Minor model spread centers on the precise timing of any layer burn-off, which could allow a brief push into the low 70s if winds shift offshore. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving limited scope for outcomes outside the 66-71°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
68-69°F 97.6%
70-71°F 3.5%
66-67°F <1%
72°F or higher <1%
$50,423 交易量
$50,423 交易量
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 97.6%
70-71°F 3.5%
66-67°F <1%
72°F or higher <1%
$50,423 交易量
$50,423 交易量
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently favor an upper-60s high at Los Angeles International Airport on May 16, anchoring the 92.7% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are limiting afternoon warming at the coastal station, consistent with typical May climatology where sea-breeze effects cap temperatures several degrees below inland readings. Minor model spread centers on the precise timing of any layer burn-off, which could allow a brief push into the low 70s if winds shift offshore. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving limited scope for outcomes outside the 66-71°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions