Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月14日達拉斯的最高溫度?
華氏80度或以上 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 交易量
$60,438 交易量
華氏61度或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
華氏80度或以上
是
華氏80度或以上 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 交易量
$60,438 交易量
華氏61度或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
華氏80度或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions