National Weather Service guidance, backed by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the May 16 high temperature at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph. This forecast consensus has positioned the 86–89°F range as the dominant market outcome, capturing over 68% combined implied probability. Traders are weighting adjacent bins most heavily because even minor shifts in afternoon heating, cloud cover, or wind strength could push the official high one degree in either direction. Historical May averages near 85°F provide baseline context, while current model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of resolution based on the recorded high at the primary Dallas station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日達拉斯的最高溫度?
88-89°F 41%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 23%
92°F或更高 8%
$17,333 交易量
$17,333 交易量
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
23%
92°F或更高
8%
88-89°F 41%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 23%
92°F或更高 8%
$17,333 交易量
$17,333 交易量
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
23%
92°F或更高
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance, backed by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the May 16 high temperature at Dallas Love Field near 88°F under partly sunny skies and southerly winds of 10–15 mph. This forecast consensus has positioned the 86–89°F range as the dominant market outcome, capturing over 68% combined implied probability. Traders are weighting adjacent bins most heavily because even minor shifts in afternoon heating, cloud cover, or wind strength could push the official high one degree in either direction. Historical May averages near 85°F provide baseline context, while current model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of resolution based on the recorded high at the primary Dallas station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions