Recent NOAA and National Weather Service model runs project afternoon highs of 85–87°F in Miami on May 17 under stable subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and typical late-spring humidity levels around 70%. This consensus drives the 86–87°F outcome to 44.5% implied probability, closely matching the seasonal normal maximum of 87°F with no tropical moisture influx or frontal systems expected to alter temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside risk for 90°F+ readings, while recent observations confirm steady conditions without rapid warming trends. Final resolution depends on official Miami International Airport readings between 1–5 p.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日邁阿密的最高溫度?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5.5%
$16,130 交易量
$16,130 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F或更高
1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 26%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5.5%
$16,130 交易量
$16,130 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent NOAA and National Weather Service model runs project afternoon highs of 85–87°F in Miami on May 17 under stable subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and typical late-spring humidity levels around 70%. This consensus drives the 86–87°F outcome to 44.5% implied probability, closely matching the seasonal normal maximum of 87°F with no tropical moisture influx or frontal systems expected to alter temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, limiting upside risk for 90°F+ readings, while recent observations confirm steady conditions without rapid warming trends. Final resolution depends on official Miami International Airport readings between 1–5 p.m. local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions