Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a daytime high of 66°F or warmer on May 19 amid weakening onshore flow and reduced marine layer influence, driving the 80% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent Pacific advection typically caps May highs near the 67°F climatological average, yet current model runs show warmer air masses and partial stratus erosion allowing greater afternoon warming. Breezy westerly winds at 10–20 mph may enhance mixing and briefly elevate readings, while any late-day fog return could trim peaks into the mid-60s. Traders watch for updated model guidance and real-time observations through evening resolution, as small shifts in boundary-layer conditions determine whether the high exceeds the key threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山5月19日的最高溫度?
66°F or higher 95.5%
64-65°F 1.6%
62-63°F 1.6%
60-61°F 1.0%
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
96%
66°F or higher 95.5%
64-65°F 1.6%
62-63°F 1.6%
60-61°F 1.0%
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a daytime high of 66°F or warmer on May 19 amid weakening onshore flow and reduced marine layer influence, driving the 80% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent Pacific advection typically caps May highs near the 67°F climatological average, yet current model runs show warmer air masses and partial stratus erosion allowing greater afternoon warming. Breezy westerly winds at 10–20 mph may enhance mixing and briefly elevate readings, while any late-day fog return could trim peaks into the mid-60s. Traders watch for updated model guidance and real-time observations through evening resolution, as small shifts in boundary-layer conditions determine whether the high exceeds the key threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions