Latest short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight minimum on May 18 between 7 °C and 10 °C, reflecting a transitional synoptic pattern of Atlantic low-pressure influence. Patchy cloud cover and light showers are expected to suppress radiational cooling under a moderating southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air, while any clearer intervals or slight northerly backing could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical May climatology at London stations shows average minima near 9 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the central outcomes. Traders are weighing potential model updates on cloud timing and wind strength ahead of the final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日倫敦的最低溫度？
5月18日倫敦的最低溫度？
7°C 29%
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
10°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
2°C或以下
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
29%
8°C
26%
9°C
25%
10°C
15%
11°C
5%
12°C或以上
3%
7°C 29%
9°C 28%
8°C 23%
10°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
2°C或以下
$52 交易量
1%
3°C
$52 交易量
1%
4°C
$65 交易量
1%
5°C
$296 交易量
1%
6°C
$62 交易量
3%
7°C
$33 交易量
29%
8°C
$20 交易量
26%
9°C
$27 交易量
25%
10°C
$13 交易量
15%
11°C
$2 交易量
5%
12°C或以上
$96 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight minimum on May 18 between 7 °C and 10 °C, reflecting a transitional synoptic pattern of Atlantic low-pressure influence. Patchy cloud cover and light showers are expected to suppress radiational cooling under a moderating southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air, while any clearer intervals or slight northerly backing could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical May climatology at London stations shows average minima near 9 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the central outcomes. Traders are weighing potential model updates on cloud timing and wind strength ahead of the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$718結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight minimum on May 18 between 7 °C and 10 °C, reflecting a transitional synoptic pattern of Atlantic low-pressure influence. Patchy cloud cover and light showers are expected to suppress radiational cooling under a moderating southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air, while any clearer intervals or slight northerly backing could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical May climatology at London stations shows average minima near 9 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the central outcomes. Traders are weighing potential model updates on cloud timing and wind strength ahead of the final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$718結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest short-range model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF places London's overnight minimum on May 18 between 7 °C and 10 °C, reflecting a transitional synoptic pattern of Atlantic low-pressure influence. Patchy cloud cover and light showers are expected to suppress radiational cooling under a moderating southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air, while any clearer intervals or slight northerly backing could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of the range. Historical May climatology at London stations shows average minima near 9 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the central outcomes. Traders are weighing potential model updates on cloud timing and wind strength ahead of the final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions