Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 17 near 14–15 °C. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow continue to suppress daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce a narrow 1–2 °C uncertainty band that keeps 13 °C and 16 °C within reach. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the central outcomes. Afternoon model updates and real-time observations at the designated airport station will determine whether the peak settles at the forecast center or shifts slightly within that range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 34%
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
16°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
34%
15°C
29%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 34%
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
16°C 7%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
34%
15°C
29%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble runs of the GFS and ECMWF models cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 17 near 14–15 °C. A post-frontal air mass and moderate southerly flow continue to suppress daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce a narrow 1–2 °C uncertainty band that keeps 13 °C and 16 °C within reach. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the central outcomes. Afternoon model updates and real-time observations at the designated airport station will determine whether the peak settles at the forecast center or shifts slightly within that range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions