Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate warm air advection and reduced cloud cover that support daytime maxima reaching 23°C or higher on May 17, aligning with the strong market-implied probability. Autumn conditions in the region typically feature average highs of 22–24°C, and current model consensus from official sources shows temperatures tracking above this baseline due to stable high-pressure influence. Minor risks from passing showers could moderate the peak, yet updated guidance continues to favor the upper end of the range. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations, with final readings expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日聖保羅的最高溫度?
23°C or higher 84%
22°C 14%
21°C 4.5%
20°C 1.5%
$27,323 交易量
$27,323 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
84%
23°C or higher 84%
22°C 14%
21°C 4.5%
20°C 1.5%
$27,323 交易量
$27,323 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate warm air advection and reduced cloud cover that support daytime maxima reaching 23°C or higher on May 17, aligning with the strong market-implied probability. Autumn conditions in the region typically feature average highs of 22–24°C, and current model consensus from official sources shows temperatures tracking above this baseline due to stable high-pressure influence. Minor risks from passing showers could moderate the peak, yet updated guidance continues to favor the upper end of the range. Resolution depends on the official maximum recorded by monitoring stations, with final readings expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions