Recent weather model consensus and Jakarta's climatological norms for mid-May position 33°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting the city's equatorial location where consistent solar insolation and urban heat island effects typically drive afternoon peaks into the low-to-mid 30s during the dry-season transition. Official BMKG guidance and ensemble forecasts show moderate humidity levels and limited convective activity through May 17, keeping temperatures from exceeding 34°C while supporting a narrow distribution centered on 32–34°C. Historical records confirm this range as the modal outcome for the date, with low variance from interannual ENSO influences at this time of year. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C because fresh model runs indicate stable steering patterns with minimal risk of stronger cooling from overnight rainfall.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日雅加達的最高溫度？
5月17日雅加達的最高溫度？
33°C 48%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
48%
34°C
25%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
27°C或以下
$1,401 交易量
<1%
28°C
$377 交易量
<1%
29°C
$297 交易量
<1%
30°C
$453 交易量
1%
31°C
$2,156 交易量
4%
32°C
$404 交易量
22%
33°C
$833 交易量
48%
34°C
$907 交易量
25%
35°C
$272 交易量
2%
36°C
$621 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$655 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus and Jakarta's climatological norms for mid-May position 33°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting the city's equatorial location where consistent solar insolation and urban heat island effects typically drive afternoon peaks into the low-to-mid 30s during the dry-season transition. Official BMKG guidance and ensemble forecasts show moderate humidity levels and limited convective activity through May 17, keeping temperatures from exceeding 34°C while supporting a narrow distribution centered on 32–34°C. Historical records confirm this range as the modal outcome for the date, with low variance from interannual ENSO influences at this time of year. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C because fresh model runs indicate stable steering patterns with minimal risk of stronger cooling from overnight rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$8,114結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus and Jakarta's climatological norms for mid-May position 33°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting the city's equatorial location where consistent solar insolation and urban heat island effects typically drive afternoon peaks into the low-to-mid 30s during the dry-season transition. Official BMKG guidance and ensemble forecasts show moderate humidity levels and limited convective activity through May 17, keeping temperatures from exceeding 34°C while supporting a narrow distribution centered on 32–34°C. Historical records confirm this range as the modal outcome for the date, with low variance from interannual ENSO influences at this time of year. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C because fresh model runs indicate stable steering patterns with minimal risk of stronger cooling from overnight rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,114結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent weather model consensus and Jakarta's climatological norms for mid-May position 33°C as the most probable daily high, reflecting the city's equatorial location where consistent solar insolation and urban heat island effects typically drive afternoon peaks into the low-to-mid 30s during the dry-season transition. Official BMKG guidance and ensemble forecasts show moderate humidity levels and limited convective activity through May 17, keeping temperatures from exceeding 34°C while supporting a narrow distribution centered on 32–34°C. Historical records confirm this range as the modal outcome for the date, with low variance from interannual ENSO influences at this time of year. Traders are assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C because fresh model runs indicate stable steering patterns with minimal risk of stronger cooling from overnight rainfall.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions