Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show Toronto’s daily high on May 17 hovering near 23–25 °C, with modest differences arising from cloud timing, lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario, and the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary. Ensemble guidance currently favors 24 °C as the most probable peak under mostly sunny afternoon conditions and light westerly flow, yet slight increases in morning stratus or stronger onshore winds could cap readings at 23 °C while faster clearing would support 25 °C. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20 °C, so the elevated outlook reflects a brief warm-air advection episode that remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日多倫多氣溫最高?
24°C 32%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
22°C 8%
$12,730 交易量
$12,730 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C或以上
2%
24°C 32%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
22°C 8%
$12,730 交易量
$12,730 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show Toronto’s daily high on May 17 hovering near 23–25 °C, with modest differences arising from cloud timing, lake-breeze effects off Lake Ontario, and the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary. Ensemble guidance currently favors 24 °C as the most probable peak under mostly sunny afternoon conditions and light westerly flow, yet slight increases in morning stratus or stronger onshore winds could cap readings at 23 °C while faster clearing would support 25 °C. Historical May climatology places typical highs around 18–20 °C, so the elevated outlook reflects a brief warm-air advection episode that remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions