Traders see the highest temperature in Milan on May 17 most likely at 21–22 °C because ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley limiting strong advection while permitting modest daytime heating. Light southerly flow and broken cloud cover are expected to keep the boundary layer from warming excessively, with the precise maximum depending on afternoon dew-point trends and any subtle timing shift in high-level subsidence. The tight spread between 21 °C and 22 °C highlights remaining model disagreement on insolation and mixing depth; the next 00Z and 12Z runs, plus local observations from Milan-Linate, will sharpen the resolution criteria for the daily maximum recorded at 18:00 local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日米蘭的最高溫度?
21°C 38%
22°C 32%
20°C 18%
23°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
38%
22°C
32%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 32%
20°C 18%
23°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
38%
22°C
32%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders see the highest temperature in Milan on May 17 most likely at 21–22 °C because ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley limiting strong advection while permitting modest daytime heating. Light southerly flow and broken cloud cover are expected to keep the boundary layer from warming excessively, with the precise maximum depending on afternoon dew-point trends and any subtle timing shift in high-level subsidence. The tight spread between 21 °C and 22 °C highlights remaining model disagreement on insolation and mixing depth; the next 00Z and 12Z runs, plus local observations from Milan-Linate, will sharpen the resolution criteria for the daily maximum recorded at 18:00 local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions