Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for Busan on May 17, supported by clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that advects warmer air from lower latitudes. Coastal moderation at the Gimhae station keeps exact values uncertain, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread around the 30–32 °C band due to variable boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Mid-May climatology already favors above-average warmth, and the tightly clustered market prices reflect this narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier scenario. Final model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日釜山的最高溫度?
31°C 29.0%
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
29°C 11%
$20,614 交易量
$20,614 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 29.0%
30°C 29%
32°C 25%
29°C 11%
$20,614 交易量
$20,614 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for Busan on May 17, supported by clear skies under a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that advects warmer air from lower latitudes. Coastal moderation at the Gimhae station keeps exact values uncertain, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread around the 30–32 °C band due to variable boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation. Mid-May climatology already favors above-average warmth, and the tightly clustered market prices reflect this narrow forecast envelope rather than any single outlier scenario. Final model runs and surface observations in the next 24 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions