**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a post-frontal airmass arriving after Wednesday’s cold front passage, with northerly flow and mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating on August 27.** This setup favors a daily high centered near 80°F, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 80-81°F bin. Ensemble guidance and climatological norms for late August in Chicago (average high 81°F) reinforce this range, while minor spread in model solutions—driven by exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing—supports the secondary probabilities on 78-79°F and 82-83°F. No heat-advection or subsidence signals appear in current runs that would push temperatures significantly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日芝加哥的最高溫度?
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 56%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
56%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
4%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a post-frontal airmass arriving after Wednesday’s cold front passage, with northerly flow and mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating on August 27.** This setup favors a daily high centered near 80°F, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 80-81°F bin. Ensemble guidance and climatological norms for late August in Chicago (average high 81°F) reinforce this range, while minor spread in model solutions—driven by exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing—supports the secondary probabilities on 78-79°F and 82-83°F. No heat-advection or subsidence signals appear in current runs that would push temperatures significantly higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions