Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a high of 77–79°F for Chicago on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited warm-air advection. This consensus, slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average, underpins the dominant 78–81°F market bands. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic conditions and no incoming frontal systems, while historical analogs and short-range guidance show only modest potential for an 80–81°F outcome if afternoon mixing strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日芝加哥的最高溫度?
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models converge on a high of 77–79°F for Chicago on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited warm-air advection. This consensus, slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average, underpins the dominant 78–81°F market bands. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given stable synoptic conditions and no incoming frontal systems, while historical analogs and short-range guidance show only modest potential for an 80–81°F outcome if afternoon mixing strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions