Recent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Guangzhou on August 13 amid cloudy skies and possible thunderstorms, which can limit daytime heating and explain the market's emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 68%. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August highs typically average around 33°C with high humidity, though steering patterns and convective activity introduce variability that traders weigh against historical analogs. Updated model runs showing increased cloud cover and precipitation chances have shifted sentiment toward the lower end of the distribution, while any clearing trends could push readings toward 35°C or higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日廣州最高溫度?
34°C 35%
35°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 11.9%
$30,285 交易量
$30,285 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
12%
34°C
35%
35°C
27%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 11.9%
$30,285 交易量
$30,285 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
12%
34°C
35%
35°C
27%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Guangzhou on August 13 amid cloudy skies and possible thunderstorms, which can limit daytime heating and explain the market's emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 68%. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August highs typically average around 33°C with high humidity, though steering patterns and convective activity introduce variability that traders weigh against historical analogs. Updated model runs showing increased cloud cover and precipitation chances have shifted sentiment toward the lower end of the distribution, while any clearing trends could push readings toward 35°C or higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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