Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日濟南氣溫最高？
8月10日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 交易量
$6,684 交易量
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
是
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 交易量
$6,684 交易量
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
$255 交易量
否
17°C
$250 交易量
否
18°C
$255 交易量
否
19°C
$515 交易量
否
20°C
$781 交易量
否
21°C
$786 交易量
否
22°C
$755 交易量
否
23°C
$740 交易量
否
24°C
$412 交易量
否
25°C
$772 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$1,162 交易量
是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,684結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,684結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions