Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
40°C 100.0%
39°C或以下 <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 交易量
$48,144 交易量
39°C或以下
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C
否
46°C
否
47°C
否
48°C
否
49°C或以上
否
40°C 100.0%
39°C或以下 <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 交易量
$48,144 交易量
39°C或以下
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C
否
46°C
否
47°C
否
48°C
否
49°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions