Recent weather model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to a maximum of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 9, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Weakening monsoon conditions after recent heavy rainfall on September 8 have reduced cloud cover and allowed greater solar insolation, supporting modest daytime warming from the prior day's 31–32°C peak. Typical September climatology shows averages near 34°C, with high humidity and light winds limiting further rises while increasing the risk of localized afternoon convection. Model spreads and microscale variations introduce uncertainty between the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier, partly cloudy conditions against residual moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 44%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
44%
34°C
40%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 44%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
44%
34°C
40%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to a maximum of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 9, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds. Weakening monsoon conditions after recent heavy rainfall on September 8 have reduced cloud cover and allowed greater solar insolation, supporting modest daytime warming from the prior day's 31–32°C peak. Typical September climatology shows averages near 34°C, with high humidity and light winds limiting further rises while increasing the risk of localized afternoon convection. Model spreads and microscale variations introduce uncertainty between the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the balance of drier, partly cloudy conditions against residual moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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