Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月11日的最高溫度?
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models place Mexico City's maximum temperature for August 11 in the 24–26°C range, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 25°C outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability. Typical August conditions feature afternoon convection and cloud cover from the North American monsoon, which caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 24°C while limiting extremes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest moisture levels that favor this narrow band, with limited upside potential beyond 26°C absent unexpected clearing. Official observations from Mexico's meteorological service will resolve the market the following day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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