Recent official forecasts from DWD-influenced models and ECMWF ensembles indicate a high of 16–18°C in Munich on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market’s 50% probability on 17°C and 35% on 18°C, reflecting consensus around slightly below the 18.8°C long-term average high. Stable model runs through the past 48 hours show minimal spread, with any upside hinging on reduced cloud cover or minor warm-sector influence that has not materialized in latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
17°C 50%
18°C 35%
20°C 13%
16°C 12%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
12%
17°C
50%
18°C
35%
19°C
10%
20°C
13%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
2%
17°C 50%
18°C 35%
20°C 13%
16°C 12%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
12%
17°C
50%
18°C
35%
19°C
10%
20°C
13%
21°C
9%
22°C
2%
23°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from DWD-influenced models and ECMWF ensembles indicate a high of 16–18°C in Munich on September 22, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market’s 50% probability on 17°C and 35% on 18°C, reflecting consensus around slightly below the 18.8°C long-term average high. Stable model runs through the past 48 hours show minimal spread, with any upside hinging on reduced cloud cover or minor warm-sector influence that has not materialized in latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions