Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and official meteorological services indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and limited precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting on 17°C (57%) and 18°C (32.5%), as afternoon observations show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding that range amid stable high pressure. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and cooler air advection favor the lower end of typical variability, with 16°C remaining a plausible downside if cloud cover persists. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
17°C 57%
18°C 34%
16°C 7%
19°C 2%
$27,414 交易量
$27,414 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
57%
18°C
34%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
17°C 57%
18°C 34%
16°C 7%
19°C 2%
$27,414 交易量
$27,414 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
57%
18°C
34%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data and official meteorological services indicates a maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with northwest winds of 5–10 mph and limited precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting on 17°C (57%) and 18°C (32.5%), as afternoon observations show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding that range amid stable high pressure. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and cooler air advection favor the lower end of typical variability, with 16°C remaining a plausible downside if cloud cover persists. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions