Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a maximum of 21°C for Qingdao on May 16, anchoring the 99.8% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. This reflects typical mid-May coastal conditions, with average highs near 20°C and limited daytime heating from stable high pressure and moderate easterly winds. Real-time station data and satellite observations confirm the narrow range, leaving little room for outliers. A sudden shift in wind direction or delayed cloud cover could push readings to 22–23°C, but such changes would require rapid atmospheric adjustments unlikely before evening resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,470 交易量
$34,470 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,470 交易量
$34,470 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C
$12,733 交易量
100%
22°C
$3,582 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,786 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,583 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,070 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,960 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,081 交易量
<1%
28°C
$996 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,469 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,325 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a maximum of 21°C for Qingdao on May 16, anchoring the 99.8% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. This reflects typical mid-May coastal conditions, with average highs near 20°C and limited daytime heating from stable high pressure and moderate easterly winds. Real-time station data and satellite observations confirm the narrow range, leaving little room for outliers. A sudden shift in wind direction or delayed cloud cover could push readings to 22–23°C, but such changes would require rapid atmospheric adjustments unlikely before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$34,470結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a maximum of 21°C for Qingdao on May 16, anchoring the 99.8% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. This reflects typical mid-May coastal conditions, with average highs near 20°C and limited daytime heating from stable high pressure and moderate easterly winds. Real-time station data and satellite observations confirm the narrow range, leaving little room for outliers. A sudden shift in wind direction or delayed cloud cover could push readings to 22–23°C, but such changes would require rapid atmospheric adjustments unlikely before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$34,470結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a maximum of 21°C for Qingdao on May 16, anchoring the 99.8% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. This reflects typical mid-May coastal conditions, with average highs near 20°C and limited daytime heating from stable high pressure and moderate easterly winds. Real-time station data and satellite observations confirm the narrow range, leaving little room for outliers. A sudden shift in wind direction or delayed cloud cover could push readings to 22–23°C, but such changes would require rapid atmospheric adjustments unlikely before evening resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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