Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, giving this outcome the leading 44.5% implied probability. Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports daytime warming, consistent with ensemble model guidance clustering around 27–29°C and recent pattern shifts toward sunnier weather in the mid-August window that have nudged expectations slightly above the typical 24–26°C climatology. Modest uncertainty in model runs stems from variables such as thin cloud timing or localized moisture, which could limit the peak near 27°C or briefly allow 29°C. Upcoming forecast updates from Environment Canada and NOAA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月11日多倫多氣溫最高？
28°C 45%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
22%
28°C
45%
29°C
28%
30°C
3%
31°C或更高
2%
28°C 45%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
21°C或以下
$429 交易量
<1%
22°C
$100 交易量
<1%
23°C
$308 交易量
<1%
24°C
$284 交易量
1%
25°C
$58 交易量
1%
26°C
$194 交易量
4%
27°C
$366 交易量
22%
28°C
$328 交易量
45%
29°C
$548 交易量
28%
30°C
$181 交易量
3%
31°C或更高
$199 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, giving this outcome the leading 44.5% implied probability. Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports daytime warming, consistent with ensemble model guidance clustering around 27–29°C and recent pattern shifts toward sunnier weather in the mid-August window that have nudged expectations slightly above the typical 24–26°C climatology. Modest uncertainty in model runs stems from variables such as thin cloud timing or localized moisture, which could limit the peak near 27°C or briefly allow 29°C. Upcoming forecast updates from Environment Canada and NOAA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,995結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, giving this outcome the leading 44.5% implied probability. Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports daytime warming, consistent with ensemble model guidance clustering around 27–29°C and recent pattern shifts toward sunnier weather in the mid-August window that have nudged expectations slightly above the typical 24–26°C climatology. Modest uncertainty in model runs stems from variables such as thin cloud timing or localized moisture, which could limit the peak near 27°C or briefly allow 29°C. Upcoming forecast updates from Environment Canada and NOAA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,995結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETEnvironment Canada’s official forecast for sunny skies and a 28°C high in Toronto on August 11 anchors trader sentiment, giving this outcome the leading 44.5% implied probability. Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions supports daytime warming, consistent with ensemble model guidance clustering around 27–29°C and recent pattern shifts toward sunnier weather in the mid-August window that have nudged expectations slightly above the typical 24–26°C climatology. Modest uncertainty in model runs stems from variables such as thin cloud timing or localized moisture, which could limit the peak near 27°C or briefly allow 29°C. Upcoming forecast updates from Environment Canada and NOAA will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions