Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月31日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 交易量
$7,505 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 交易量
$7,505 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$970 交易量
No
23°C
$990 交易量
No
24°C
$1,065 交易量
No
25°C
$315 交易量
No
26°C
$215 交易量
No
27°C
$104 交易量
No
28°C
$465 交易量
No
29°C
$130 交易量
No
30°C
$323 交易量
No
31°C
$867 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,061 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,505結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,505結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions