The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日鄭州氣溫最高？
9月10日鄭州氣溫最高？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,704 交易量
$4,704 交易量
2026-09-10
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,704 交易量
$4,704 交易量
2026-09-10
22°C或以下
$259 交易量
否
23°C
$239 交易量
否
24°C
$415 交易量
否
25°C
$437 交易量
否
26°C
$207 交易量
否
27°C
$1,077 交易量
是
28°C
$958 交易量
否
29°C
$983 交易量
否
30°C
$20 交易量
否
31°C
$55 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$55 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,704結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,704結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for a 27°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 reflects converging outputs from regional numerical weather prediction models and near-real-time surface observations from official Chinese meteorological networks, which have consistently pointed to this peak under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders view deviations as improbable at this stage. Minor uncertainty remains from potential post-analysis adjustments to station data or microscale variations across urban versus suburban sites, though such revisions rarely exceed 1°C for well-monitored locations. Updated hourly reports or final daily summaries from the China Meteorological Administration could confirm resolution criteria in the coming hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions