The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美國國庫券孳息率會走多高？
$286,114 交易量
2026-12-31
4.8%
64%
5.0%
29%
5.2%
8%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
6%
$286,114 交易量
4.8%
$59,302 交易量
64%
5.0%
$81,123 交易量
29%
5.2%
$26,278 交易量
8%
5.5%
$5,832 交易量
7%
5.7%
$4,234 交易量
5%
6.0%
$3,059 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$286,114結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$286,114結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, currently trading near 4.68-4.69 percent, reflects trader focus on sticky inflation, elevated federal deficits, and a Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent after a divided July decision. Recent CPI prints showing year-over-year inflation around 3.4 percent with core measures slowing modestly have eased immediate hike odds for September but left markets pricing potential tightening later in 2026 if price pressures reaccelerate. Fiscal supply concerns and term premium expansion continue to anchor longer-term rates above recent cycle lows, while steady growth and labor data limit downside moves. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and employment releases plus FOMC communications that could shift expectations for the policy path through year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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