**Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—via a multi-agent system of roughly 10,000 coordinated AI agents over 88 hours, followed by Lean formalization, represent the main catalyst shaping current odds.** This September 2026 breakthrough, alongside related AI-assisted results on simplified fluid equations from mathematicians using models from OpenAI and Anthropic, has demonstrated large language models' growing capacity for advanced mathematical reasoning and proof generation. However, the remaining problems, such as the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, and Yang-Mills existence, involve deeper conceptual and computational barriers with no comparable recent progress reported. With limited time left in 2026 and the need for independent verification of the Navier-Stokes result, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to zero or one additional AI-solved problem by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0 47%
1 32%
2 12%
3 5.8%
$143,401 交易量
$143,401 交易量
0
47%
1
32%
2
12%
3
6%
4
2%
5
1%
0 47%
1 32%
2 12%
3 5.8%
$143,401 交易量
$143,401 交易量
0
47%
1
32%
2
12%
3
6%
4
2%
5
1%
Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem—one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems—via a multi-agent system of roughly 10,000 coordinated AI agents over 88 hours, followed by Lean formalization, represent the main catalyst shaping current odds.** This September 2026 breakthrough, alongside related AI-assisted results on simplified fluid equations from mathematicians using models from OpenAI and Anthropic, has demonstrated large language models' growing capacity for advanced mathematical reasoning and proof generation. However, the remaining problems, such as the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, and Yang-Mills existence, involve deeper conceptual and computational barriers with no comparable recent progress reported. With limited time left in 2026 and the need for independent verification of the Navier-Stokes result, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to zero or one additional AI-solved problem by year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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