Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026 during renewed ground operations against Hezbollah, capturing positions such as Beaufort Ridge and issuing evacuation orders northward toward the Zahrani River amid the 2026 Lebanon war. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect in mid-April and was renewed in early June, conditioning any Israeli pullback on Hezbollah's full withdrawal north of the Litani, cessation of attacks, and creation of Lebanese security zones. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over compliance, with Israel citing persistent threats and incomplete Hezbollah disengagement as reasons for maintaining forward positions, while diplomatic talks continue without a firm withdrawal timeline. Ongoing regional tensions tied to the broader Iran conflict and fragile enforcement mechanisms remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,151,678 交易量
2026-08-31
August 31
3%
December 31
12%
$1,151,678 交易量
August 31
$97,257 交易量
3%
December 31
$319,820 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026 during renewed ground operations against Hezbollah, capturing positions such as Beaufort Ridge and issuing evacuation orders northward toward the Zahrani River amid the 2026 Lebanon war. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect in mid-April and was renewed in early June, conditioning any Israeli pullback on Hezbollah's full withdrawal north of the Litani, cessation of attacks, and creation of Lebanese security zones. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over compliance, with Israel citing persistent threats and incomplete Hezbollah disengagement as reasons for maintaining forward positions, while diplomatic talks continue without a firm withdrawal timeline. Ongoing regional tensions tied to the broader Iran conflict and fragile enforcement mechanisms remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,151,678市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026 during renewed ground operations against Hezbollah, capturing positions such as Beaufort Ridge and issuing evacuation orders northward toward the Zahrani River amid the 2026 Lebanon war. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect in mid-April and was renewed in early June, conditioning any Israeli pullback on Hezbollah's full withdrawal north of the Litani, cessation of attacks, and creation of Lebanese security zones. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over compliance, with Israel citing persistent threats and incomplete Hezbollah disengagement as reasons for maintaining forward positions, while diplomatic talks continue without a firm withdrawal timeline. Ongoing regional tensions tied to the broader Iran conflict and fragile enforcement mechanisms remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
交易量
$1,151,678市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced beyond the Litani River in late May 2026 during renewed ground operations against Hezbollah, capturing positions such as Beaufort Ridge and issuing evacuation orders northward toward the Zahrani River amid the 2026 Lebanon war. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect in mid-April and was renewed in early June, conditioning any Israeli pullback on Hezbollah's full withdrawal north of the Litani, cessation of attacks, and creation of Lebanese security zones. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over compliance, with Israel citing persistent threats and incomplete Hezbollah disengagement as reasons for maintaining forward positions, while diplomatic talks continue without a firm withdrawal timeline. Ongoing regional tensions tied to the broader Iran conflict and fragile enforcement mechanisms remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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