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icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?

icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?

少於5則 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$20,073 交易量

少於5則 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$20,073 交易量

少於5則

$6,586 交易量

5-9

$2,715 交易量

10-14

$1,763 交易量

15-19

$1,412 交易量

20-24

$1,487 交易量

25-29

$1,307 交易量

30-34

$1,497 交易量

35-39

$731 交易量

40-44

$509 交易量

45-49

$580 交易量

50-54

$469 交易量

55-59

$518 交易量

60+

$497 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than five Khamenei-related X posts during September 11–18, 2026, reflects the measured pace of official Iranian leadership communications. The primary accounts, including @khamenei_ir, typically issue statements tied to scheduled speeches, religious observances, or major policy announcements rather than daily updates. Recent developments, such as President Pezeshkian’s September 12 confirmation of Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and continued authority amid ongoing regional tensions, have not prompted a surge in activity. Factors sustaining low volume include the accounts’ focus on archival and translated content alongside institutional caution following leadership transitions. A sudden escalation in conflicts, high-level diplomatic statements, or a formal address could still increase output within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,073
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The overwhelming trader consensus on fewer than five Khamenei-related X posts during September 11–18, 2026, reflects the measured pace of official Iranian leadership communications. The primary accounts, including @khamenei_ir, typically issue statements tied to scheduled speeches, religious observances, or major policy announcements rather than daily updates. Recent developments, such as President Pezeshkian’s September 12 confirmation of Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and continued authority amid ongoing regional tensions, have not prompted a surge in activity. Factors sustaining low volume include the accounts’ focus on archival and translated content alongside institutional caution following leadership transitions. A sudden escalation in conflicts, high-level diplomatic statements, or a formal address could still increase output within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,073
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於5則" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?" is "少於5則" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月11日至9月18日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.