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icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?

icon for Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?

Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$20,220 交易量

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$20,220 交易量

<5

$5,828 交易量

Yes

5-9

$2,948 交易量

No

10-14

$3,244 交易量

No

15-19

$2,359 交易量

No

20-24

$921 交易量

No

25-29

$1,186 交易量

No

30-34

$1,437 交易量

No

35-39

$448 交易量

No

40-44

$344 交易量

No

45-49

$380 交易量

No

50-54

$392 交易量

No

55-59

$339 交易量

No

60+

$394 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,220
結束日期
2026-09-11
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,220
結束日期
2026-09-11
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?" has generated $20.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?" is "<5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts 2026年9月4日至9月11日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.