Current atmospheric conditions in subtropical Guangzhou, including high humidity near 80-95% and persistent cloud cover with thunderstorm activity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the overnight low near 26-27°C according to multiple model runs. These factors align with climatological norms for late August, where average lows hover around 25°C amid monsoon influences and minimal temperature advection. Recent hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing above 26°C through the early morning hours, reinforcing trader consensus around the leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes while reducing odds for cooler thresholds below 25°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like those tracking regional convection highlight stable steering patterns with no incoming cooler air masses expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日廣州最低溫度？
8月29日廣州最低溫度？
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$2,459 交易量
$2,459 交易量
2026-08-29
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$2,459 交易量
$2,459 交易量
2026-08-29
21°C or below
$325 交易量
No
22°C
$339 交易量
No
23°C
$70 交易量
No
24°C
$606 交易量
No
25°C
$102 交易量
No
26°C
$101 交易量
No
27°C
$207 交易量
Yes
28°C
$402 交易量
No
29°C
$73 交易量
No
30°C
$173 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$60 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions in subtropical Guangzhou, including high humidity near 80-95% and persistent cloud cover with thunderstorm activity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the overnight low near 26-27°C according to multiple model runs. These factors align with climatological norms for late August, where average lows hover around 25°C amid monsoon influences and minimal temperature advection. Recent hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing above 26°C through the early morning hours, reinforcing trader consensus around the leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes while reducing odds for cooler thresholds below 25°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like those tracking regional convection highlight stable steering patterns with no incoming cooler air masses expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,459結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions in subtropical Guangzhou, including high humidity near 80-95% and persistent cloud cover with thunderstorm activity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the overnight low near 26-27°C according to multiple model runs. These factors align with climatological norms for late August, where average lows hover around 25°C amid monsoon influences and minimal temperature advection. Recent hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing above 26°C through the early morning hours, reinforcing trader consensus around the leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes while reducing odds for cooler thresholds below 25°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like those tracking regional convection highlight stable steering patterns with no incoming cooler air masses expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,459結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current atmospheric conditions in subtropical Guangzhou, including high humidity near 80-95% and persistent cloud cover with thunderstorm activity, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the overnight low near 26-27°C according to multiple model runs. These factors align with climatological norms for late August, where average lows hover around 25°C amid monsoon influences and minimal temperature advection. Recent hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing above 26°C through the early morning hours, reinforcing trader consensus around the leading 27°C and 26°C outcomes while reducing odds for cooler thresholds below 25°C. Updated forecasts from agencies like those tracking regional convection highlight stable steering patterns with no incoming cooler air masses expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions