Current forecasts from regional models and local observations place Karachi’s overnight minimum near 25°C on September 10, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity (70–85 %), and coastal moderation that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, and recent model runs have converged on this range with little spread. Trader consensus at 94.5 % for exactly 25 °C therefore reflects alignment between these data and the market’s resolution criteria. A shift to clearer skies or a temporary lull in onshore winds could allow the temperature to dip to 24 °C or below, while stronger mixing or delayed sea-breeze onset would more likely keep the minimum at or above 26 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$2,424 交易量
$2,424 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$2,424 交易量
$2,424 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from regional models and local observations place Karachi’s overnight minimum near 25°C on September 10, driven by persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity (70–85 %), and coastal moderation that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, and recent model runs have converged on this range with little spread. Trader consensus at 94.5 % for exactly 25 °C therefore reflects alignment between these data and the market’s resolution criteria. A shift to clearer skies or a temporary lull in onshore winds could allow the temperature to dip to 24 °C or below, while stronger mixing or delayed sea-breeze onset would more likely keep the minimum at or above 26 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions