Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms through September 8, according to PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain high humidity, anchoring the overnight low near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C. Stronger or more prolonged rain would favor the lower end by further reducing cooling; clearer breaks would push the minimum toward 27 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model cycles will refine the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月8日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
25°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
16%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
31%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
16%
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
25°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
16%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
31%
25°C
$0 交易量
32%
26°C
$6 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
17%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms through September 8, according to PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain high humidity, anchoring the overnight low near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C. Stronger or more prolonged rain would favor the lower end by further reducing cooling; clearer breaks would push the minimum toward 27 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model cycles will refine the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$6結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms through September 8, according to PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain high humidity, anchoring the overnight low near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C. Stronger or more prolonged rain would favor the lower end by further reducing cooling; clearer breaks would push the minimum toward 27 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model cycles will refine the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon, including Metro Manila, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms through September 8, according to PAGASA guidance. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and maintain high humidity, anchoring the overnight low near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Recent model runs show minor spread in exact rainfall timing and intensity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C. Stronger or more prolonged rain would favor the lower end by further reducing cooling; clearer breaks would push the minimum toward 27 °C or above. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model cycles will refine the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions