Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月28日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 交易量
$4,375 交易量
2026-08-28
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 交易量
$4,375 交易量
2026-08-28
67°F or below
$863 交易量
No
68-69°F
$173 交易量
No
70-71°F
$184 交易量
No
72-73°F
$228 交易量
No
74-75°F
$389 交易量
No
76-77°F
$363 交易量
No
78-79°F
$608 交易量
No
80-81°F
$693 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$596 交易量
No
84-85°F
$164 交易量
No
86°F or higher
$114 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$4,375結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,375結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions