Recent forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 8 likely near 21–23°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions favoring radiational cooling under light easterly winds and moderate humidity. A persistent warm anomaly from early September, with daytime highs near 33°C, maintains elevated baseline temperatures, while an approaching Atlantic front introduces thunderstorm potential later in the day that could limit further nocturnal cooling. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19–24°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold for resolution.