Current ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF project an overnight low for Munich on September 8 in the 16–18°C range, driven by light southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points that limit strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow. Model spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, as even modest increases in nocturnal cloudiness or wind could drop the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer conditions would support the higher end. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and next ensemble releases will likely narrow the range ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
17°C 49%
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
9%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C或以上
4%
17°C 49%
14°C 28%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
21%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF project an overnight low for Munich on September 8 in the 16–18°C range, driven by light southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points that limit strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow. Model spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, as even modest increases in nocturnal cloudiness or wind could drop the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer conditions would support the higher end. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and next ensemble releases will likely narrow the range ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF project an overnight low for Munich on September 8 in the 16–18°C range, driven by light southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points that limit strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow. Model spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, as even modest increases in nocturnal cloudiness or wind could drop the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer conditions would support the higher end. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and next ensemble releases will likely narrow the range ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF project an overnight low for Munich on September 8 in the 16–18°C range, driven by light southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and moderate dew points that limit strong radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow. Model spread in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C, as even modest increases in nocturnal cloudiness or wind could drop the minimum by 1–2°C while clearer conditions would support the higher end. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and next ensemble releases will likely narrow the range ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions