Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Key variables include the degree of overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, subtle shifts in wind direction that could advect slightly cooler or warmer air, and any late adjustments to precipitation timing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this range, with historical early-September climatology for the region centering near 23°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance heavily, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across 22–25°C reflects sensitivity to final 24–48 hour updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日上海最低溫度？
9月8日上海最低溫度？
24°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C 31%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
18°C或以下
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
20%
21°C
31%
22°C
31%
23°C
23%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
9%
28°C或以上
1%
24°C 32%
21°C 31%
22°C 31%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
18°C或以下
$208 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
31%
22°C
$0 交易量
31%
23°C
$0 交易量
23%
24°C
$63 交易量
35%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$0 交易量
31%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Key variables include the degree of overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, subtle shifts in wind direction that could advect slightly cooler or warmer air, and any late adjustments to precipitation timing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this range, with historical early-September climatology for the region centering near 23°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance heavily, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across 22–25°C reflects sensitivity to final 24–48 hour updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$271結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Key variables include the degree of overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, subtle shifts in wind direction that could advect slightly cooler or warmer air, and any late adjustments to precipitation timing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this range, with historical early-September climatology for the region centering near 23°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance heavily, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across 22–25°C reflects sensitivity to final 24–48 hour updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$271結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 8 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, supporting the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Key variables include the degree of overnight cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, subtle shifts in wind direction that could advect slightly cooler or warmer air, and any late adjustments to precipitation timing. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around this range, with historical early-September climatology for the region centering near 23°C. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic guidance heavily, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across 22–25°C reflects sensitivity to final 24–48 hour updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions