Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日武漢最低氣溫？
9月9日武漢最低氣溫？
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 交易量
$2,539 交易量
2026-09-09
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28℃或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$2,539 交易量
$2,539 交易量
2026-09-09
18°C或以下
$209 交易量
否
19°C
$274 交易量
否
20°C
$472 交易量
是
21°C
$164 交易量
否
22°C
$221 交易量
否
23°C
$145 交易量
否
24°C
$165 交易量
否
25°C
$155 交易量
否
26°C
$215 交易量
否
27°C
$375 交易量
否
28℃或以上
$145 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,539結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,539結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 20°C in Wuhan on September 9 as the most probable outcome, reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-autumn cooling patterns across the Yangtze River region. Historical September minima for the city average near 19–21°C, with limited day-to-day variability under current ENSO-neutral conditions. Official observations from surface stations and ensemble runs show minimal risk of deeper cooling or warming intrusions through the resolution window. Shifts could occur if updated model guidance incorporates a stronger cold-air outbreak or if localized urban heat-island effects alter the recorded minimum, though such revisions remain low-probability given the narrow spread in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions