Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on September 9 will fall to 15°C or lower, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. Official observations and GFS-based guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C amid high humidity and reduced solar heating, consistent with the sharp drop from earlier September averages near 20°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 15°C or below reflects this model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A rapid clearing trend or unexpected warm advection before midnight could push the recorded low above the threshold, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日鄭州最低氣溫?
15°C或以下 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$4,836 交易量
$4,836 交易量
15°C或以下
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
15°C或以下 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$4,836 交易量
$4,836 交易量
15°C或以下
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on September 9 will fall to 15°C or lower, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler air masses. Official observations and GFS-based guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C amid high humidity and reduced solar heating, consistent with the sharp drop from earlier September averages near 20°C. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 15°C or below reflects this model agreement and ongoing surface observations. A rapid clearing trend or unexpected warm advection before midnight could push the recorded low above the threshold, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions